MARKET SENTIMENT
BMInsider Fear & Greed Index
Measures the prevailing market sentiment daily — from extreme fear to extreme greed.
BMInsider Smart Money Index
Fear & Greed Barometer
Extreme Fear
Extreme Greed
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BMInsider Forecast Matrix
Quantitative Sentiment & Drawdown Analysis
–%
Probability of Market Drawdown
Calculating…
Market Regime
Analyzing…
Risk/Reward Profile
Analyzing…
Volatility Outlook
Analyzing…
The 7 Components
How the score is composed
Stock Price Momentum
72
Greed
Measures how far S&P 500 is above its 125-day moving average
+10.3 pts contribution
Stock Price Strength
80
Extreme Greed
Ratio of 52-week highs to lows on the NYSE
+11.4 pts contribution
Stock Price Breadth
65
Greed
McClellan Volume Summation Index — shows breadth of market movement
+9.3 pts contribution
Put/Call Ratio
75
Greed
5-day put/call ratio: Low = investors buying calls = greed
+7.5 pts contribution
Market Volatility
82
Extreme Greed
VIX vs. 50-day average (inverted): Low volatility = greed
+16.4 pts contribution
Safe Haven Demand
70
Greed
Stocks vs. bonds performance over 20 days — outperformance = greed
+10.5 pts contribution
Junk Bond Demand
68
Greed
HY vs. IG spread: Tight spread = investors seeking risk = greed
+13.6 pts contribution
What does this mean for me?
Action guidance based on the current sentiment level
Optimism dominates — stay vigilant
- Take partial profits
- Tighten stop-losses
- Size new positions conservatively
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Historical data does not guarantee future performance.
Forward Returns by Sentiment Level
Historical S&P 500 performance after sentiment readings (2010–2025)
| Score Range | After 1 Month | After 3 Months | After 6 Months | After 12 Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–25 Extreme Fear | +4.2% | +9.8% | +15.6% | +22.4% |
| 26–45 Fear | +1.8% | +4.5% | +8.2% | +13.7% |
| 46–54 Neutral | +0.9% | +2.4% | +5.1% | +9.2% |
| 55–74 Greed Current | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +7.5% |
| 75–100 Extreme Greed | −1.8% | −3.4% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
Based on S&P 500 data 2010–2025. Historical performance is not a guarantee of future returns.
Comparison with Other Sentiment Indicators
Beta — Live data integration in progress
BMInsider Fear & Greed
56
Greed
Last updated: Live
VIX (CBOE)
25.9
Medium
▼
Updated: Apr 18, 2026
AAII Bull/Bear Ratio
1.8
Neutral
▲
Updated: Apr 17, 2026 (weekly)
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
0.82
Neutral
→
Updated: Apr 18, 2026
Sentiment by Sector
Which sectors are overheated or undervalued?
Technology
82
Extreme Greed
▲
Communication Services
75
Greed
▲
Financials
68
Greed
▲
Consumer Discretionary
64
Greed
→
Industrials
58
Neutral
→
Healthcare
52
Neutral
▼
Consumer Staples
45
Neutral
▼
Materials
42
Fear
▼
Real Estate
38
Fear
▼
Utilities
35
Fear
→
Energy
28
Fear
▼