Michael Burry — Smart Money Profile & Strategy

Smart Money Profile

Michael Burry

Scion Asset Management

Michael Burry — Scion Asset Management
Scion
Primary Fund
$1.4B
13F Portfolio Value
Contrarian · Deep Value
Investment Style

Profile & Investment Philosophy

Michael Burry is one of the most unconventional investors of his generation. In Q1 2026, he transitioned to his "Whale Fall" thesis, targeting fundamentally strong "boring" companies abandoned by AI-chasing capital. His concentrated portfolio features massive bets on PayPal, Adobe, and MercadoLibre, alongside contrarian stakes in Lululemon. Burry remains convinced that markets are frequently irrational in the short term, and that patience in deep value assets eventually yields outsized returns.

Track Record

Michael Burry founded Scion Capital in 2000 after leaving medicine. From 2000 through 2008 Scion delivered approximately 489% gross / 472% net versus the S&P 500's roughly 2% over the same period. He famously profited around $100 million personally plus $725 million for investors on the 2008 subprime short via credit default swaps. After closing Scion in 2008, he reopened as Scion Asset Management in 2013. The fund stays small — typical 13F AUM ranges from $50 million to $200 million — and Burry deliberately operates outside the institutional spotlight. Made famous beyond Wall Street by Michael Lewis's The Big Short and Christian Bale's film portrayal in 2015.

Signature Trades

Subprime CDS Short (2005-2008)
Burry read mortgage prospectuses cover to cover and identified that 2005-vintage subprime ARM resets would trigger defaults starting in 2007. He persuaded Goldman and Deutsche Bank to create custom CDS contracts against subprime MBS, paying premiums for years while investors revolted and demanded redemptions. When the music stopped in 2007-2008, his positions paid out billions and made him the central character of The Big Short.
GameStop Pre-Squeeze (2019-2020)
Burry built a Scion position in GameStop at roughly $4 per share in 2019, writing letters to the board demanding share buybacks. He flagged unusually high short interest and cited Ryan Cohen's involvement. Scion exited largely before the January 2021 retail-driven squeeze to $483, but the position still delivered massive returns and validated Burry's deep-value-plus-catalyst process.
Big Short 2.0 (Q3 2023)
Burry disclosed in August 2023 13F filings that he had purchased $1.6 billion notional in put options against the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) ETFs. Markets briefly panicked, indexes wobbled, then rallied through year-end. Burry reportedly closed the puts at a loss within months. A reminder that even legendary contrarians get whipsawed and that 13F option notionals overstate actual exposure.

Current Strategy (2026)

Burry's 13F filings through 2025 and into Q1 2026 show a sharp tilt toward China — Alibaba (BABA), JD.com (JD), and Baidu (BIDU) appear as core holdings, framed around valuations that price in worst-case decoupling. He also rotated into beaten-down names like Estee Lauder and Molina Healthcare. Hedges remain a recurring theme: small notional put positions appear most quarters. He shut down his X account in 2023 and communicates almost exclusively through quarterly 13Fs. Macro tweets when active leaned bearish on US equities, citing Shiller PE, margin debt and the AI-capex cycle. Position sizes are small in dollar terms — Scion is a research shop with limited capital, not a mega fund.

BMI

BMI Counter-Take

Burry is the smartest contrarian in the room and one of the worst-timed. The 2023 SPY/QQQ puts were intellectually defensible and immediately wrong. The China megacap thesis (BABA, JD, BIDU) looks correct on a 5-year view — these are cash-generating businesses trading at single-digit P/Es — but the execution risk and CCP overhang means the path is bumpy. BMI's view: copy Burry's research process, not his trades. He shows you the asymmetry; you size it for your own balance sheet. Following 13F filings means buying 45-day-old positions; for option positions the disclosure understates timing risk dramatically. Read his letters, not his Twitter screenshots.

Current Portfolio

LATEST 13F 2025-09-30

Latest SEC Form 13F filing. Total portfolio value: $1.38 B. Holdings: 8 positions.

SecurityTypeSharesΔ vs PrevValue ($)Portfolio %
Palantir Technologies Inc.Put5.00 M★ NEW$912 M66.0 %
Nvidia CorporationPut1.00 M★ NEW$187 M13.5 %
Pfizer Inc.Call6.00 M★ NEW$153 M11.1 %
Halliburton Co.Call2.50 M★ NEW$61.5 M4.45 %
Molina Healthcare Inc.Common125,000★ NEW$23.9 M1.73 %
Lululemon Athletica Inc.Common100,000-77.8%$17.8 M1.29 %
Slm Corp.Common480,054★ NEW$13.3 M0.96 %
Bruker Corp.Common48,334★ NEW$13.1 M0.95 %

SOURCE: SEC Form 13F (2025-11-03). BMI Smart Money Tracker.

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