Seth Klarman

Smart Money Profile

Seth Klarman

Baupost Group

Seth Klarman — Baupost Group
Baupost
Primary Fund
$5.1B
13F Portfolio Value
Deep Value · Margin of Safety
Investment Style

Profile & Investment Philosophy

Seth Klarman's Baupost Group showed a significant appetite for growth in Q1 2026, increasing its Amazon stake by nearly 50%. Klarman also added to Wesco International and initiated a new position in Union Pacific. His approach remains focused on finding "margin of safety" in complex situations, but his shift toward larger platform businesses reflects a changing opportunity set in the deep value space.

Track Record

Klarman co-founded Baupost Group in 1982 and has run it for over four decades. Long-term net returns have been reported around 18-20% annualized over the firm's history, with very limited losing years, while routinely carrying 20-50% cash. AUM grew from roughly $27 million at inception to over $30 billion at peak, making Baupost one of the largest value-oriented hedge funds in the world. His out-of-print book ‚Margin of Safety' regularly resells for thousands of dollars. He is a deeply private operator who almost never appears on financial TV and writes long, philosophical investor letters that circulate widely in the value community.

Signature Trades

Distressed energy, 2014-2016 oil crash
When WTI collapsed from $100 to under $30, Klarman moved aggressively into distressed E&P debt and equity, including positions like PBF Energy and stressed exploration credits. He used Baupost's cash pile as ammunition while levered peers were forced sellers. As oil recovered in 2016-2017, several of those positions returned multiples, classic Margin-of-Safety execution.
Lehman claims, post-2008
Baupost was among the largest buyers of Lehman bankruptcy claims, scooping them from impatient creditors at deep discounts to expected recoveries. The work was painstaking — legal complexity, multi-year horizon, illiquid claims — exactly the kind of edge Baupost is built for. Final recoveries vastly exceeded purchase prices, delivering high single-digit IRRs on capital most funds refused to tie up that long.
Puerto Rico GO bonds, mid-2010s
As Puerto Rico spiraled toward restructuring, Klarman built a large position in general-obligation bonds at distressed levels, betting on constitutional priority of repayment. The trade was politically toxic and took years, but the eventual 2022 restructuring delivered recoveries well above the prices Baupost paid, validating the legal-structural analysis.

Current Strategy (2026)

Baupost's Q1 2026 13F covers only US-listed equities, a small slice of the firm's actual book, which is dominated by private credit, distressed claims and real estate. On the visible equity side, Klarman continues to favor event-driven and special-situation names, with notable disclosed positions in life-sciences-tools and ‚fallen angel' growth stocks bought after sharp drawdowns, plus selective post-bankruptcy reorgs. He has trimmed mega-cap tech exposure and added to spin-offs and merger arbs where capital structures are misunderstood. The firm continues to carry a high cash and hedge book. The macro stance is cautious: he has warned in letters about elevated valuations, fiscal deficits and complacency around AI capex returns, and is positioning to deploy if a credit cycle finally turns.

BMI

BMI Counter-Take

Klarman is the closest thing the industry has to a built-in counter-cyclical buffer. The high cash, the patience, the willingness to lock up capital in illiquid claims for five-plus years — almost no retail investor can or should fully replicate that. What is replicable is the mindset: refuse to feel pressured to be fully invested, define your edge in process not narrative, and keep dry powder for forced-seller moments. The risk in his current posture is opportunity cost — Baupost has under-earned a tape that just kept ripping. But if a real credit cycle turns, his structural cash and distressed expertise become an asymmetric weapon. Long-term, we side with the discipline.

Current Portfolio

LATEST 13F 2026-03-31

Latest SEC Form 13F filing. Total portfolio value: $5.12 B. Holdings: 22 positions.

SecuritySharesΔ vs PrevValue ($)Portfolio %
Amazon Com Inc.3.12 M+47.0%$650 M12.7 %
Restaurant Brands Intl Inc.8.08 M$597 M11.7 %
Wesco Intl Inc.1.44 M+1.3%$393 M7.69 %
Union Pac Corp.1.54 M-5.3%$374 M7.31 %
Elevance Health Inc. Formerly1.28 M+0.5%$373 M7.30 %
Alphabet Inc.1.18 M+8.6%$339 M6.62 %
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.1.44 M+26.9%$336 M6.58 %
Willis Towers Watson PLC Ltd.893,126-34.2%$260 M5.08 %
Aon PLC769,000★ NEW$248 M4.85 %
Visa Inc.701,355★ NEW$212 M4.14 %

SOURCE: SEC Form 13F (2026-05-14). BMI Smart Money Tracker.

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