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Ence Energia y Celulosa

ENC.MC Small Cap

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Updated: May 22, 2026, 22:06 UTC

€2.48
+1.14% today
52W: €2.14 – €3.04
52W Low: €2.14 Position: 37.6% 52W High: €3.04

Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
Price-to-Earnings
Forward P/E
744.14x
Forward Price/Earnings
P/S Ratio
0.83x
Price-to-Sales
EV/EBITDA
23.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Div. Yield
Annual dividend yield
Market Cap
$600.7M
Market Capitalization
Revenue Growth
-17.7%
YoY Revenue Growth
Profit Margin
-10.26%
Net profit margin
ROE
-14.3%
Return on Equity
Beta
0.23
Market sensitivity
Short Interest
% of float sold short
Avg. Volume
379,488
Average daily volume

Valuation Analysis

Signal
N/A
vs. S&P 500 avg P/E (24.7x)
Analyst Consensus
None
9 analysts
Avg. Price Target
€3.43
+38.28% upside
Target Range
€2.70 – €4.20

About the Company

ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells hardwood pulp and renewable energy in Spain, Germany, Poland, Italy, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Greece, France, Turkey, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose, Forest Heritage and others segments. The company offers bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp; and forest land management and forestry services, as well as producing renewable energy using agricultural and forestry biomass sources; and producing timber for pulp. In addition, it is involved in generating, selling electric energy and carbon credits; developing biogas plants; selling of biomass; clean energy management; gas trading; research and development; purchase and sale of timber; waste management; electricity management; biogas, biom

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Paper & Paper Products Country: Spain Employees: 1,342 Exchange: MCE

Ence Energia y Celulosa Stock at a Glance

Ence Energia y Celulosa (ENC.MC) is currently trading at €2.48 with a market capitalization of $600.7M. The 52-week range spans from €2.14 to €3.04; the current price is 18.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -17.7%.

💰 Dividend

Ence Energia y Celulosa currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

9 analysts rate Ence Energia y Celulosa (ENC.MC) on consensus: None. The average price target is €3.43, implying +38.28% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from €2.70 to €4.20.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths

No standout strengths in current data.

Weaknesses
  • Revenue shrinking (-17.7% YoY)
  • Currently unprofitable
  • Negative free cash flow

Technical Snapshot

50-Day MA
€2.36
+5.08% vs. price
200-Day MA
€2.50
-0.8% vs. price
Below 52W High
−18.4%
€3.04
Above 52W Low
+15.9%
€2.14

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Risk Profile

Market Risk (Beta)
0.23 · Defensive
Moves less than the overall market
Debt-to-Equity
128.85 · Elevated
Total debt / equity

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

50-Day MA: €2.36
200-Day MA: €2.50
Volume: 719,509
Avg. Volume: 379,488
Short Ratio:
P/B Ratio: 1.36x
Debt/Equity: 128.85x
Free Cash Flow: $-91,877,248

Ence Energia y Celulosa (ENC.MC) 2026: 2,38 EUR Spanish Eucalyptus-Pulp and Renewable-Energy Specialist with Pontevedra-Mill-Concession Litigation, 1,3x P/B Deep-Value and Cycle-Recovery Optionality

The Real Story

Ence Energia y Celulosa S.A. (Madrid: ENC) is a Spanish hardwood-pulp-producer and renewable-energy generator. The company operates two main pulp-mills (Pontevedra and Navia, total approximately 1,1 million tonnes BHKP-eucalyptus-pulp annual capacity) plus a portfolio of biomass-renewable-energy plants (approximately 220 MW operating capacity).

Structural challenges: Pontevedra-mill-concession litigation ongoing since 2016 with Spanish Supreme Court ruling against concession-extension in 2021, with Pontevedra-mill currently operating under temporary-court-protection but with long-term-uncertainty. Pulp-pricing-cycle troughed 2024-2025 and now in early-recovery.

What Smart Money Thinks

Ence has Spanish institutional base. Imantia Capital at approximately 5,2 percent, BlackRock at approximately 3,8 percent. Bestinver Gestión at approximately 2,4 percent represents Spanish value-equity. Short-interest sits at approximately 8 percent of float as of May 2026.

Explore the BMI Smart-Money Tracker →

📈 The 3 Real Bull Points

#1 BHKP eucalyptus pulp pricing cycle recovery from 2024-2025 trough supports EBITDA inflection 2026-2027

BHKP pulp prices troughed 2024-2025 at approximately 650-700 USD per tonne and have been recovering through 2025-2026. Each 50 USD per tonne pricing increase translates to approximately 35-45 million EUR of incremental Ence-EBITDA at 1,1 million tonne annual capacity.

#2 Renewable energy biomass portfolio provides defensive recurring revenue base less correlated to pulp-cycle

Ence operates approximately 220 MW of biomass-renewable-energy plants generating approximately 100-130 million EUR of annual recurring revenue under long-duration PPA-and-feed-in-tariff frameworks. Defensive revenue base provides downside protection.

#3 1,3x P/B deep-value reflects cycle-trough plus Pontevedra-litigation-overhang

Ence's 1,3x P/B reflects cycle-trough valuation plus Pontevedra-mill-litigation overhang. Re-rating on pulp-cycle-recovery plus Pontevedra-resolution supports 3,50-4,80 EUR price range — 47-100 percent upside.

📉 The 3 Real Bear Points

#1 Pontevedra mill concession final resolution remains uncertain — adverse outcome would compress production capacity 50 percent

Pontevedra-mill-concession-final-resolution remains uncertain after Spanish Supreme Court 2021 ruling against extension. If final-resolution requires Pontevedra-shutdown by 2030-2035, Ence would lose approximately 500.000 tonne pulp-production capacity and approximately 200-300 million EUR annual revenue.

#2 BHKP-pulp-pricing-cycle volatility creates lumpy earnings — Chinese-and-Brazilian competitive supply pressure

BHKP pulp-pricing-cycle is structurally volatile with Chinese-and-Brazilian (Suzano, Bracell) competitive supply pressure compressing pricing-power.

#3 Forward-P/E 716x reflects expected EPS-recovery that may delay

Ence's elevated forward-P/E reflects expected EPS-recovery from cycle-trough. If recovery slips, valuation-compression risk material.

Valuation in Context

Ence at 2,38 EUR per share with approximately 242,8 million shares outstanding has a market capitalization of approximately 578 million EUR. With approximately 350 million EUR net-debt, enterprise value is approximately 930 million EUR against trailing-twelve-month revenue of approximately 850 million EUR.

Sum-of-parts: Pulp segment at peak-cycle EBITDA approximately 200 million EUR supports approximately 700-900 million EUR EV; Renewable-energy segment at 11-14x EBITDA approximately 350-450 million EUR EV. Total fair-value 1,1-1,4 billion EUR EV — approximately 4,30-5,80 EUR per share. Bear-case (Pontevedra-shutdown) 1,40-1,80 EUR. Bull-case (pulp recovery plus Pontevedra-resolution) 6-8 EUR over 24-36 months.

🗓️ Next 3 Catalyst Dates

  1. 2026 Q3:

    H1 2026 earnings (early September 2026). Watch-items: BHKP pulp pricing, renewable-energy revenue, Pontevedra-litigation update.

  2. 2027 Q1:

    Fiscal-2026 full-year results plus fiscal-2027 guidance.

  3. 2027 H2:

    Potential Pontevedra-litigation final-resolution.

💬 Daniel's Take

Ence Energia y Celulosa is a deep-value Spanish eucalyptus-pulp-and-renewable-energy specialist with cycle-recovery optionality, Pontevedra-concession-litigation overhang, and 1,3x P/B deep-value. Position-sizing: 0,3–0,8 percent in cyclical-special-situation sleeve. Sizing-up zones 1,80-2,10 EUR on Pontevedra-narrative correction.

Sources (3)

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, including total loss.

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