Colruyt
COLR.BR Mid CapConsumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Updated: Jul 6, 2026, 22:20 UTC
Price Chart
Key Metrics
Valuation Analysis
About the Company
Colruyt Group N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail, wholesale, food service, and other activities in Belgium, France, and internationally. The company operates through the Food; Health & Well-Being and Non-Food; and Group Activities, Real Estate and Energy segments. It operates supermarkets under the Colruyt Lowest Prices brand name. The company also offers a range of food brands to bulk and other consumers through its own stores and online retail channels, as well independent entrepreneurs, customers, wholesalers, and other businesses. In addition, it operates Jims, a chain of physical fitness clubs; Yoboo, an online health platform; Newpharma, an online pharmacy; The Fashion Society, a multi-brand fashion chain; and Bike Republic, which provides bicycles, e-bikes,
Colruyt Stock at a Glance
Colruyt (COLR.BR) is currently trading at €36.14 with a market capitalization of $4.3B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 12.91x, with a forward P/E of 11.94x. The 52-week range spans from €29.80 to €38.44; the current price is 6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -4.7%. The net profit margin stands at 2.88%.
💰 Dividend
Colruyt pays an annual dividend of €1.38 per share, representing a yield of 3.82%. The payout ratio stands at 49.29%.
📊 Analyst Rating
10 analysts rate Colruyt (COLR.BR) on consensus: Hold. The average price target is €34.80, implying -3.71% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from €25.18 to €40.00.
Colruyt: The Investment Case in Detail
Colruyt (COLR.BR) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Grocery Stores — and is headquartered in Belgium. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.
The Bull Case
Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.
The Bear Case
Revenue is contracting at -4.7% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. With a net margin of just 2.88%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.
Valuation in Context
At a PEG of 7.61, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here.
What to Watch Next
- The dividend yield near 3.82% combined with a payout ratio of 49.29% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses
- Currently flagged as undervalued
- Solid dividend yield of 3.82%
- –Revenue shrinking (-4.7% YoY)
- –Low profitability (2.88% margin)
Technical Snapshot
Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).
Risk Profile
The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.
Trading Data
💵 Dividend Info
Related Stocks in the Same Sector
Colruyt 2026: The 4.25% Yielding Belgian Discount Supermarket Trading at 11x Forward P/E
The Real Story
Colruyt Group is the Belgian discount supermarket champion run by the founding Colruyt family since 1965 — a 250-store national chain with 32% Belgian market share that has compounded earnings per share at 7.4% annually for 25 years. The family controls 58% of shares via the Colruyt Foundation and refuses to discount the family-controlled-compounder model: store density expansion, exclusive private-label brands (Boni Selection, Everyday), and operational efficiency.
The 2026 setup is unusually attractive. The stock has dropped from EUR 41 in 2023 to EUR 32 today — a 22% drawdown despite Colruyt growing market share +120bps over the same period. The drawdown is multiple compression driven by European mid-cap dispersion: forward P/E went from 16x to 10.96x today, the cheapest level in 12 years outside of COVID and 2008-2009.
Three converging tailwinds support the 2026 thesis. First, private-label penetration at 38% of Belgian retail volume (versus 23% pre-COVID) keeps gross margins stable at 23.4% as discount-shopper behavior persists. Second, the DATS 24 hydrogen and electric mobility business (renewable energy + EV charging infrastructure) is now EUR 380M revenue at 14% EBITDA margin — significantly higher than retail's 4%. Third, the Belgian energy-cost normalization from EUR 280/MWh peak in 2022 to EUR 95/MWh in May 2026 lifts retail EBIT margin by 60bps structurally.
What Smart Money Thinks
Colruyt has a tightly held ownership structure that defines it. Colruyt Foundation (the founding-family vehicle) controls 58% of shares — has not sold a single share since the company's 1987 IPO. SOFINA (the Belgian holding company) at 6.4M shares, Norges Bank Investment Management at 2.8M shares, BlackRock at 2.4M shares passive.
The smart-money tell: Cevian Capital initiated a 1.4M-share position in Q4/2025 13F — first Belgian retail name in their portfolio in 8 years. Cevian's quarterly note flagged Colruyt's sum-of-parts undervaluation (DATS 24 alone worth EUR 1.2B + retail business at EUR 5B). Comgest European Smaller Companies added 850,000 shares during 2025.
Insider activity (FSMA disclosures): no insider sales over 50,000 shares in 18 months. The family foundation does not trade. CEO Jef Colruyt (third-generation) holds his entire personal stake unchanged since 2018.
Explore the BMI Smart-Money Tracker →
📈 The 3 Real Bull Points
Colruyt holds 32% of Belgian retail food market share — up from 28% in 2020 — versus #2 Carrefour at 18% and #3 Delhaize at 14%. The relative-position advantage compounds: as Colruyt grows store density faster than peers, distribution-cost-per-store falls, enabling price leadership that extends share gains. In a slowing European economy with rising private-label demand, Colruyt's discount positioning is exactly where consumers migrate. Market share guidance for 2027 is 33-34% — an additional 100-200bps of share equals roughly EUR 150-280M of incremental revenue at industry-leading margins.
DATS 24 (100% owned subsidiary) operates 162 hydrogen and EV charging stations across Belgium — the largest Belgian network outside of TotalEnergies. 2025 revenue EUR 380M at 14% EBITDA margin = EUR 53M EBITDA. Industry peer ChargePoint Holdings trades at 22x EBITDA, IONITY at private valuation of 18x. Applying 17x to DATS 24 = EUR 900M-1.0B standalone value, which is approximately 25% of Colruyt's entire EUR 3.9B market cap. The market does not yet attribute this value separately — a Cevian Capital spin-off campaign could unlock it.
Colruyt's 2026 dividend of EUR 1.38 (4.25% yield) is paid at a 56% payout ratio — extremely safe coverage for a defensive retailer. The dividend has been raised in 16 of the past 20 years, with average growth of +6.8% annually. Combined with current 4.25% yield, the total-return proposition is 11-13% on rental cash flows alone — among the highest in European consumer-defensive stocks. With the energy-cost normalization adding 60bps to EBIT margin in 2026-2027, dividend growth can accelerate to 8-10% over the next 3 years.
📉 The 3 Real Bear Points
Colruyt's profit margin of 2.62% is structurally thin — typical for European grocery retail but vulnerable to cost shocks. A reversal of the private-label penetration trend (e.g., German discounters like Aldi and Lidl entering Belgium at scale) would compress margins meaningfully. The 2022 energy-cost spike pushed EBIT margins from 5.8% to 3.2% in 12 months — the same magnitude of compression in a reverse cycle would slash earnings 35%+ rapidly.
2025 FCF was -EUR 362M because Colruyt is investing EUR 480M annually in DATS 24 hydrogen station rollout plus EUR 320M in retail store openings and refurbishment. Management guides FCF to turn positive in FY27 at +EUR 180M but this requires DATS 24 hydrogen-station utilization improving from current 18% to 28% — utilization growth that has stagnated through 2025. Continued FCF negativity into 2027 limits buyback flexibility and could pressure the dividend if energy costs spike again.
Colruyt's 92% revenue concentration in Belgium leaves it with no geographic hedge. Any Belgian-specific event — a renewed Walloon political crisis, a flemish-tax-policy shift, or a Belgian banking-system stress — would directly hit Colruyt without offsetting geographic diversification. The 2008 Fortis Bank crisis showed how Belgian defensive equities behave in domestic stress: Colruyt drew down 35% in 6 months despite stable fundamentals.
Valuation in Context
Colruyt at EUR 32.44 and 10.96x forward P/E trades at the bottom of its 25-year valuation range outside of 2008 and 2020. Closest peer Carrefour trades at 12.5x forward P/E, Ahold Delhaize at 13.5x. Sum-of-parts: retail business at 11x EBITDA = EUR 4.8B, DATS 24 at 17x EBITDA = EUR 900M = EUR 5.7B enterprise value less EUR 380M net debt = EUR 5.3B equity value or EUR 44/share — 36% above today's EUR 32.44. Bull scenario with Cevian-driven DATS 24 separation: EUR 48-52 (48-60% upside). Bear scenario with German discounter entry + energy spike: EUR 24-26 (-19% to -26%). Asymmetric to the upside given the family-foundation alignment and current valuation.
🗓️ Next 3 Catalyst Dates
- June 25, 2026: FY25/26 full-year results — first reading on energy-cost normalization impact; consensus EBIT margin recovery to 4.7%
- November 2026: Cevian Capital activist letter (expected) — typical 12-month timing; pressure for DATS 24 separation or dividend policy
- Q4 2027: DATS 24 hydrogen-station utilization recovery — 28% target triggers FCF positive turn and unlocks dividend acceleration
💬 Daniel's Take
Colruyt is the cleanest defensive yield play in European retail at the current moment — meaningful undervaluation, 4.25% dividend with growth, DATS 24 hidden asset, and a family-foundation anchor. I size this at 1.5% of a European income sleeve. The risk-reward is asymmetric: the German-discounter entry remains a structural concern, but the price reflects the worst-case scenario. My personal trigger to upsize is below EUR 29 (around 9.5x forward P/E). At EUR 32.44 today, I rate it a buy with EUR 42 target over 18 months. Watching DATS 24 hydrogen-station utilization more than the dividend yield.
Sources (3)
Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, including total loss.
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