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Sector: Real Estate
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Citycon

CTY1S.HE Small Cap

Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified

Updated: Jul 6, 2026, 22:20 UTC

€2.90
+0.17% today
52W: €2.58 – €4.01
52W Low: €2.58 Position: 22.4% 52W High: €4.01

Price Chart

Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
2.06x
Price-to-Earnings
Forward P/E
6.54x
Forward Price/Earnings
P/S Ratio
1.75x
Price-to-Sales
EV/EBITDA
13.38x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Div. Yield
31.03%
Annual dividend yield
Market Cap
$532.4M
Market Capitalization
Revenue Growth
1.3%
YoY Revenue Growth
Profit Margin
37.28%
Net profit margin
ROE
6.23%
Return on Equity
Beta
0.72
Market sensitivity
Short Interest
% of float sold short
Avg. Volume
99,341
Average daily volume

Valuation Analysis

Signal
Undervalued
vs. S&P 500 avg P/E (24.7x)
Analyst Consensus
None
0 analysts

About the Company

Citycon Oyj, a real estate investment company, owns and develops mixed-use centers in Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, and Estonia. It develops mixed-use centers that include retail, offices, hotels, and housing, as well as for food and beverage, healthcare, culture, and leisure services. Citycon Oyj was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland. As of March 6, 2026, Citycon Oyj operates as a subsidiary of G City Ltd.

Sector: Real Estate Industry: Real Estate - Diversified Country: Finland Employees: 157 Exchange: HEL

Citycon Stock at a Glance

Citycon (CTY1S.HE) is currently trading at €2.90 with a market capitalization of $532.4M. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 2.06x, with a forward P/E of 6.54x. The 52-week range spans from €2.58 to €4.01; the current price is 27.7% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +1.3%. The net profit margin stands at 37.28%.

💰 Dividend

Citycon pays an annual dividend of €0.90 per share, representing a yield of 31.03%. The payout ratio stands at 63.83%.

Citycon: The Investment Case in Detail

Citycon (CTY1S.HE) operates in the Real Estate — specifically Real Estate - Diversified — and is headquartered in Finland. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

With a gross margin near 71.25%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

Revenue growth has slowed to just 1.3%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy.

What to Watch Next

  • The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
  • The dividend yield near 31.03% combined with a payout ratio of 63.83% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths
  • Profitable with 37.28% net margin
  • High gross margin of 71.25% — indicates pricing power
  • Currently flagged as undervalued
  • Solid dividend yield of 31.03%
Weaknesses
  • Negative free cash flow

Technical Snapshot

50-Day MA
€2.94
-1.36% vs. price
200-Day MA
€3.49
-16.91% vs. price
Below 52W High
−27.7%
€4.01
Above 52W Low
+12.4%
€2.58

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

Market Risk (Beta)
0.72 · Defensive
Moves less than the overall market
Debt-to-Equity
118.47 · Elevated
Total debt / equity

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

50-Day MA: €2.94
200-Day MA: €3.49
Volume: 40,476
Avg. Volume: 99,341
Short Ratio:
P/B Ratio: 0.45x
Debt/Equity: 118.47x
Free Cash Flow: $-318,150,016

💵 Dividend Info

Dividend Yield
31.03%
Annual Rate
€0.90
Payout Ratio
63.83%

Citycon (CTY1S.HE) 2026: 2,92 EUR Nordic Mixed-Use Shopping Center REIT at 0,40x P/B Extreme Deep-Value with Gazit-Globe Strategic Anchor

The Real Story

Citycon Oyj (Helsinki: CTY1S) is a Helsinki-headquartered Nordic-real-estate-investment company owning and developing mixed-use centers in Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Estonia. Mixed-use portfolio includes retail, offices, hotels, housing, public-services. Major strategic shareholder: Gazit-Globe (Israeli REIT).

What Smart Money Thinks

Citycon has Gazit-Globe-anchored register. Gazit-Globe holds approximately 51 percent — dominant strategic-control anchor. Varma Mutual Pension at approximately 7,2 percent. Short-interest sits at approximately 3 percent of float as of May 2026.

Explore the BMI Smart-Money Tracker →

📈 The 3 Real Bull Points

#1 0,40x P/B extreme deep-value reflects Nordic-retail-cycle-trough — re-rating supports 100-150 percent upside

Citycon's 0,40x P/B reflects extreme Nordic-retail-cycle-trough. Re-rating to 0,7-0,9x P/B supports 5-6,50 EUR.

#2 Mixed-use diversification (retail + offices + housing) provides defensive base versus pure-retail REITs

Mixed-use diversification provides structural-defensive base.

#3 Gazit-Globe 51 percent anchor provides long-duration capital discipline

Gazit-Globe strategic-control plus 15+ year ownership provides discipline.

📉 The 3 Real Bear Points

#1 Nordic retail cycle weakness plus higher-for-longer rates compress REIT valuation

Nordic-retail-cycle-weakness compresses valuation.

#2 Dividend cut history — 30,82 percent yield reflects market skepticism on coverage

Elevated dividend yield reflects market skepticism on dividend coverage sustainability.

#3 Higher-rate refinancing risk 2026-2028

Refinancing exposure compresses FFO.

Valuation in Context

Citycon at 2,92 EUR per share with approximately 183,6 million shares outstanding has a market capitalization of approximately 536 million EUR. 0,40x P/B deep-discount.

Re-rating to 0,7-0,9x P/B supports 5-6,50 EUR — 71-123 percent upside. Bear-case 1,80-2,20 EUR. Bull-case 8-10 EUR. Dividend yield optically high but coverage uncertain.

🗓️ Next 3 Catalyst Dates

  1. 2026 Q3:

    H1 2026 earnings.

  2. 2027 Q1:

    Fiscal-2026 full-year results.

  3. 2027 H2:

    Nordic retail-cycle-recovery milestones.

💬 Daniel's Take

Citycon is a deep-value Nordic mixed-use shopping-center REIT with Gazit-Globe 51 percent anchor, 0,40x P/B extreme-discount and Nordic-retail-cycle-recovery optionality. Position-sizing: 0,3–0,8 percent in deep-value-REIT-special-situation sleeve.

Sources (3)

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, including total loss.

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