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Sector: Consumer Cyclical
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Rocky Brands

RCKY Micro Cap

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Updated: Jul 6, 2026, 22:20 UTC

$39.71
-1.37% today
52W: $22.34 – $48.70
52W Low: $22.34 Position: 65.9% 52W High: $48.70

Price Chart

Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
16.08x
Price-to-Earnings
Forward P/E
9.71x
Forward Price/Earnings
P/S Ratio
0.61x
Price-to-Sales
EV/EBITDA
10.28x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Div. Yield
1.71%
Annual dividend yield
Market Cap
$299.5M
Market Capitalization
Revenue Growth
9.1%
YoY Revenue Growth
Profit Margin
3.78%
Net profit margin
ROE
7.61%
Return on Equity
Beta
2.36
Market sensitivity
Short Interest
3.47%
% of float sold short
Avg. Volume
63,567
Average daily volume

Valuation Analysis

Signal
Undervalued
vs. S&P 500 avg P/E (24.7x)
Analyst Consensus
None
1 analysts
Avg. Price Target
$53.00
+33.47% upside
Target Range
$53.00 – $53.00

About the Company

Rocky Brands, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets footwear and apparel in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Wholesale, Retail, and Contract Manufacturing segments. The Wholesale segment offers products, which includes sporting goods stores, outdoor retailers, independent shoe retailers, hardware stores, mass merchants, uniform stores, farm store chains, specialty safety stores, specialty retailers, and online retailers in retail locations through a range of distribution channels. Its Retail segment sells its products direct sales to consumers through its websites comprising rockyboots.com, georgiaboot.com, durangoboot.com, muckbootcompany.com, xtratuf.com, lehighoutfitters.com, lehighsafetyshoes.com, and slipgrips.com; and third-par

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Footwear & Accessories Country: United States Employees: 2,200 Exchange: NMS

Rocky Brands Stock at a Glance

Rocky Brands (RCKY) is currently trading at $39.71 with a market capitalization of $299.5M. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 16.08x, with a forward P/E of 9.71x. The 52-week range spans from $22.34 to $48.70; the current price is 18.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +9.1%. The net profit margin stands at 3.78%.

💰 Dividend

Rocky Brands pays an annual dividend of $0.68 per share, representing a yield of 1.71%. The payout ratio stands at 25.1%.

📊 Analyst Rating

1 analysts rate Rocky Brands (RCKY) on consensus: None. The average price target is $53.00, implying +33.47% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $53.00 to $53.00.

Rocky Brands: The Investment Case in Detail

Rocky Brands (RCKY) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Footwear & Accessories — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

With a net margin of just 3.78%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. With a beta near 2.36, the share price moves sharply more than the broader market — drawdowns in market corrections can be unusually severe and require strong nerves.

Valuation in Context

The PEG ratio at 1.17 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric.

What to Watch Next

  • The forward P/E of 9.71x is meaningfully below the trailing 16.08x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
  • The analyst consensus price target implies 33.47% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths
  • Currently flagged as undervalued
  • Positive free cash flow
Weaknesses
  • Low profitability (3.78% margin)
  • High volatility (Beta 2.36)

Technical Snapshot

50-Day MA
$38.41
+3.38% vs. price
200-Day MA
$34.68
+14.5% vs. price
Below 52W High
−18.5%
$48.70
Above 52W Low
+77.8%
$22.34

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

Market Risk (Beta)
2.36 · High
Moves more than the overall market
Short Interest
3.47% · Low
% of float sold short
Debt-to-Equity
51.66 · Moderate
Total debt / equity

The data points to above-average price swings.

Trading Data

50-Day MA: $38.41
200-Day MA: $34.68
Volume: 47,122
Avg. Volume: 63,567
Short Ratio: 4.79
P/B Ratio: 1.19x
Debt/Equity: 51.66x
Free Cash Flow: $4.4M

💵 Dividend Info

Dividend Yield
1.71%
Annual Rate
$0.68
Payout Ratio
25.1%

Rocky Brands at 33 dollars: work boots, hunting boots, and military contracts at 8x forward earnings

The Real Story

Rocky Brands owns three boot families: Rocky (work and hunting boots — Carhartt-adjacent customer), Georgia Boot (steel-toe work boots for construction and oil-and-gas), and Durango (Western boots for ranchers and rodeo culture). It also has a smaller military contract business and a slim retail operation. About 80 percent of revenue is wholesale through Tractor Supply, Boot Barn, Cabela's, Bass Pro, hardware stores and farm-and-ranch chains.

The market hates RCKY because it is a small-cap consumer cyclical with high beta (2.39) and the entire Carhartt/work-wear category has been weak since 2023. Forward P/E 8.2 prices in a continued slump. But two things are underrated: management has been paying down the debt from the 2021 Honeywell Safety acquisition (now 1.4x net leverage from over 3x), and Tractor Supply's continued strength in rural America is a structural tailwind.

What Smart Money Thinks

Mike Brooks family (founders) controls ~12 percent. CEO Jason Brooks (son of founder) is on the board and aligned. No mega-fund 13F whale. Some small-cap value funds — Diamond Hill, Heartland — held positions through the 2024 lows.

Explore the BMI Smart-Money Tracker →

📈 The 3 Real Bull Points

#1
#2
#3

📉 The 3 Real Bear Points

#1
#2
#3

Valuation in Context

At 33.72 USD with EPS 2.47 the trailing P/E is 13.7 and forward P/E is 8.2 — clearly undervalued versus footwear peer median of 14 to 16x. EV/EBITDA 9.1 reflects the still-elevated debt. Once net leverage falls below 1x (likely 2027), the multiple should re-rate toward 12 to 14x forward earnings.

🗓️ Next 3 Catalyst Dates

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💬 Daniel's Take

RCKY is the kind of small-cap consumer cyclical I find appealing when the discount is meaningful and management has a credible deleveraging path. Forward P/E 8.2 with a clean balance sheet trajectory and a strong rural-America tailwind is asymmetric. I size 1 to 2 percent in a value-cyclical sleeve. Risk is consumer recession; reward is multiple expansion plus debt-paydown equity transfer. Beta is high — manage position sizing accordingly.

Sources (3)

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, including total loss.

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