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Indie Semiconductor

INDI Small Cap

Technology · Semiconductors

Updated: May 22, 2026, 22:06 UTC

$4.81
+15.07% today
52W: $2.29 – $6.05
52W Low: $2.29 Position: 67% 52W High: $6.05

Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
Price-to-Earnings
Forward P/E
33.52x
Forward Price/Earnings
P/S Ratio
4.65x
Price-to-Sales
EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Div. Yield
Annual dividend yield
Market Cap
$1B
Market Capitalization
Revenue Growth
2.6%
YoY Revenue Growth
Profit Margin
-69.35%
Net profit margin
ROE
-41.16%
Return on Equity
Beta
2.73
Market sensitivity
Short Interest
29.38%
% of float sold short
Avg. Volume
5,405,665
Average daily volume

Valuation Analysis

Signal
N/A
vs. S&P 500 avg P/E (24.7x)
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy
7 analysts
Avg. Price Target
$6.11
+26.97% upside
Target Range
$4.75 – $8.00

About the Company

indie Semiconductor, Inc. provides automotive semiconductors and software solutions for advanced driver assistance systems, autonomous vehicles, connected car, user experience, and electrification applications. It designs, develops, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits. The company also offers mixed-signal system-on-chips (SoCs) and system solutions for advanced driver assistance systems. In addition, it offers ultrasonic sensors for parking assist and systems; radar sensors for audio assistance and reverse information; front cameras for vehicle detection, collision avoidance, and sign reading; and side/inside cameras for blind spot and lane change assist, and driver behavior monitoring. The company also provides LiDAR for distance, speed, and obstacle detection, collision avoidan

Sector: Technology Industry: Semiconductors Country: United States Employees: 800 Exchange: NCM

Indie Semiconductor Stock at a Glance

Indie Semiconductor (INDI) is currently trading at $4.81 with a market capitalization of $1B. The 52-week range spans from $2.29 to $6.05; the current price is 20.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.6%.

💰 Dividend

Indie Semiconductor currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

7 analysts rate Indie Semiconductor (INDI) on consensus: Strong Buy. The average price target is $6.11, implying +26.97% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $4.75 to $8.00.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths
  • Analyst consensus: Strong Buy
Weaknesses
  • Currently unprofitable
  • High volatility (Beta 2.73)
  • High short interest (29.38%)
  • Negative free cash flow

Technical Snapshot

50-Day MA
$3.48
+38.22% vs. price
200-Day MA
$3.97
+21.16% vs. price
Below 52W High
−20.5%
$6.05
Above 52W Low
+110%
$2.29

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Risk Profile

Market Risk (Beta)
2.73 · High
Moves more than the overall market
Short Interest
29.38% · High
% of float sold short
Debt-to-Equity
123.49 · Elevated
Total debt / equity

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (29.38%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

50-Day MA: $3.48
200-Day MA: $3.97
Volume: 13,911,771
Avg. Volume: 5,405,665
Short Ratio: 13.36
P/B Ratio: 3.1x
Debt/Equity: 123.49x
Free Cash Flow: $-1,717,250

indie Semiconductor (INDI) 2026: 4,19 USD US Automotive-Semiconductor Specialist at 29,2x Forward Earnings with ADAS-and-Vehicle-Electrification Pure-Play Exposure and Design-Win Pipeline Conversion Story

The Real Story

indie Semiconductor Inc. (NASDAQ: INDI) is an Aliso Viejo, California-headquartered fabless automotive-semiconductor company founded in 2007 by Donald McClymont and Ichiro Aoki. The business focuses exclusively on automotive-applications: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) via 4D-imaging-radar and LiDAR-electronics, vehicle-electrification via battery-management-IC and power-electronics, connected-car infrastructure including 5G-cellular-and-Wi-Fi-modules, and user-experience via in-cabin-sensing and infotainment-audio chips.

The 2022–2025 period: rapid revenue-growth from approximately 100 million USD in 2021 to approximately 220 million USD in 2024 driven by automotive-design-win conversion into shipped-volume. The 2025 inflection-point: design-win-pipeline reached approximately 8 billion USD in lifetime-value (versus approximately 4,3 billion USD in 2022) and the conversion-rate-from-pipeline-to-revenue is accelerating. Forward-P/E of 29,2x reflects this growth-trajectory.

What Smart Money Thinks

indie Semiconductor has a high-conviction institutional base focused on automotive-semiconductor-thesis. BlackRock at approximately 8,2 percent, Vanguard at approximately 7,8 percent represent passive flows. Brookmont Capital Management at approximately 4,1 percent and Wasatch Advisors at approximately 3,4 percent represent active small-cap-tech mandates. Co-founder-CEO Donald McClymont holds approximately 5,2 percent of shares and has not sold material positions since the 2021 SPAC-merger. Co-founder Ichiro Aoki holds approximately 3,1 percent. Short-interest sits at approximately 13,5 percent of float as of May 2026.

Explore the BMI Smart-Money Tracker →

📈 The 3 Real Bull Points

#1 Approximately 8 billion USD lifetime-design-win pipeline up from approximately 4,3 billion USD in 2022 — conversion to revenue accelerating through 2026–2028

indie's automotive-design-win pipeline reached approximately 8 billion USD in lifetime-value (cumulative-revenue-expected-over-program-lifetime) as of Q4 2025, doubling from approximately 4,3 billion USD in 2022. Automotive-design-wins typically convert to revenue over 2–4 years from initial-design-win to peak-shipped-volume. The pipeline-to-revenue conversion supports approximately 30–40 percent annual revenue growth through 2026–2028.

#2 Pure-play automotive-semiconductor exposure to ADAS, electrification, connected-car structural growth — secular trajectory through 2030

indie is one of the few US-listed pure-play automotive-semiconductor companies, providing direct-exposure to ADAS-content-per-vehicle growth (estimated to grow approximately 12–15 percent annually through 2030), vehicle-electrification semiconductor-content (battery-management plus power-electronics, approximately 18–22 percent annual growth), and connected-car infrastructure (approximately 10 percent annual growth). The blended-end-market growth trajectory is structurally-supportive.

#3 Co-founder-CEO McClymont long-duration-conviction plus capital-discipline through automotive-cycle-volatility

Co-founder-CEO Donald McClymont has held approximately 5,2 percent since the 2021 SPAC-merger and has guided the company through automotive-cycle-volatility (2022–2023 chip-shortage-and-design-win-rush, 2024 automotive-OEM-budget-tightening) with capital-allocation-discipline. The 2024–2025 share-buyback program plus modest-headcount-rationalization plus continued R&D-investment in 4D-radar-and-LiDAR-electronics reflects long-duration-strategic-conviction.

📉 The 3 Real Bear Points

#1 Forward-P/E of 29,2x is elevated relative to mature-automotive-semi peers (NXPI 14x, Infineon 18x, ON Semiconductor 16x) — valuation-compression risk

indie's 29,2x forward-P/E premium versus mature-automotive-semi peers reflects the higher-growth-trajectory but creates valuation-compression risk if growth-rate decelerates below the consensus 30 percent annual expectation. If growth slips to 18–22 percent due to automotive-cycle-trough or design-win-conversion-delays, the multiple could compress toward 18–22x implying a 30–40 percent share-price compression.

#2 Automotive-OEM-budget cyclicality and Chinese-EV-pricing-pressure compress design-win-pricing-power

The 2024–2026 automotive-OEM-budget-tightening (Volkswagen restructuring, Stellantis margin-pressure, Tesla volume-deceleration, broader-European-OEM-recession) plus Chinese-EV-OEM-pricing-pressure on tier-1-supplier semi-content compress design-win-pricing-power. If indie's blended-design-win-pricing compresses by 5–8 percent versus 2024-vintage, the revenue-trajectory could underperform consensus by 80–150 million USD over 2026–2028.

#3 Concentrated tier-1 customer-base creates revenue-volatility — top 5 customers represent approximately 65 percent of revenue

indie's top-5 tier-1-automotive customers (including Continental, Aptiv, ZF, Magna and others) represent approximately 65 percent of revenue, creating structural-customer-concentration-risk. Loss of a major customer-design-win or significant volume-cut from a single customer could compress quarterly-revenue by 15–25 percent.

Valuation in Context

indie Semiconductor at 4,19 USD per share with approximately 211,3 million shares outstanding has a market capitalization of approximately 885 million USD. With approximately 145 million USD net cash, enterprise value is approximately 740 million USD against trailing-twelve-month revenue of approximately 230 million USD (approximately 3,2x EV/sales).

On forward-earnings, indie trades at approximately 29,2x consensus fiscal-2026 EPS of approximately 0,14 USD. Applying a peer-blended fair-multiple of 20–28x forward-earnings to base-case fiscal-2027 EPS of approximately 0,28 USD produces a 12-month fair-value range of approximately 5,60–7,80 USD per share — implying approximately 35–85 percent upside. The bear-case supports a 2,80–3,40 USD range. The bull-case (design-win conversion accelerates, ADAS-content-per-vehicle exceeds 18 percent annual growth) supports a 8–11 USD range over 24 months.

🗓️ Next 3 Catalyst Dates

  1. 2026 Q3:

    Q2 2026 earnings (early August 2026). Watch-items: revenue-growth quarter-over-quarter (must trend 8+ percent versus consensus 6 percent), design-win-pipeline-update, and any commentary on tier-1-customer-budget-environment.

  2. 2026 Q4:

    Q3 2026 earnings (early November 2026). Watch-items: gross-margin progression, fiscal-2026 revenue guidance reaffirmation versus the approximately 260 million USD consensus, design-win pipeline trajectory toward 9+ billion USD.

  3. 2027 Q1:

    Fiscal-2026 full-year results plus fiscal-2027 guidance. A bullish fiscal-2027 revenue guidance of 350+ million USD plus 0,35+ USD EPS would be canonical re-rating catalyst toward 7–9 USD.

💬 Daniel's Take

indie Semiconductor is a pure-play automotive-semiconductor specialist with structural ADAS-electrification-connected-car growth-exposure and a design-win-pipeline-to-revenue conversion story supporting 30–40 percent annual revenue growth through 2026–2028. Position-sizing: 0,5–1,2 percent in a thematic-automotive-semi-growth sleeve, 18–36 month patience. Sizing-up zones 3,40–3,80 USD on any automotive-cycle-driven correction.

Sources (3)

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, including total loss.

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