Geo Group Inc (The) REIT

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

The GEO Group, Inc. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO's diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 emplo

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT Stock at a Glance

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) is currently trading at $28.44 with a market capitalization of $3.8B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 14.44x, with a forward P/E of 17.1x. The 52-week range spans from $12.51 to $28.89; the current price is 1.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +16.6%. The net profit margin stands at 10%.

💰 Dividend

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

4 analysts rate Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) on consensus: Strong Buy. The average price target is $29.50, implying +3.73% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $27.00 to $33.00.

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT: The Investment Case in Detail

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) operates in the Industrials — specifically Security & Protection Services — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Revenue is growing at a healthy 16.6% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 106.5% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

What to Watch Next

• The share is trading at 97.3% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (9.85%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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