Target Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, deli, bakery, meat, produce, and food service; electronics which includes video games and consoles, toys, sporting goods, entertainment, and luggage; bed and bath, home décor, school/office supplies, storage, small appliances, kitchenware, greeting cards, party supplies, furniture, lighting, home improvement, and seasonal merchandise; and household es

Target Corporation Stock at a Glance

Target Corporation (TGT) is currently trading at $135.23 with a market capitalization of $61.4B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 17.86x, with a forward P/E of 15.19x. The 52-week range spans from $83.44 to $136.14; the current price is 0.7% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +6.7%. The net profit margin stands at 3.24%.

💰 Dividend

Target Corporation pays an annual dividend of $4.64 per share, representing a yield of 3.43%. The payout ratio stands at 59.97%.

📊 Analyst Rating

33 analysts rate Target Corporation (TGT) on consensus: Hold. The average price target is $131.81, implying -2.53% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $92.00 to $160.00.

Target Corporation: The Investment Case in Detail

Target Corporation (TGT) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Discount Stores — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bear Case

With a net margin of just 3.24%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valuation in Context

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.25x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 15.19x is meaningfully below the trailing 17.86x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 98.3% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.
• The dividend yield near 3.43% combined with a payout ratio of 59.97% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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