Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Stock at a Glance

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is currently trading at $245.75 with a market capitalization of $51.1B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 51.3x, with a forward P/E of 38.89x. The 52-week range spans from $126.01 to $252.03; the current price is 2.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -2.9%. The net profit margin stands at 18.46%.

💰 Dividend

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.16 per share, representing a yield of 0.47%. The payout ratio stands at 23.59%.

📊 Analyst Rating

22 analysts rate Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) on consensus: Hold. The average price target is $221.82, implying -9.74% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $155.00 to $260.00.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) operates in the Industrials — specifically Trucking — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 18.46%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions.

The Bear Case

Revenue is contracting at -2.9% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valuation in Context

At a PEG of 3.51, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 29.77x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 38.89x is meaningfully below the trailing 51.3x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 95% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (6.18%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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