Burlington Stores, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded merchandise in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company offers fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, home furnishings, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby and beauty merchandise products. It operates stores under the Burlington Stores, and Cohoes Fashions brands in Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Stock at a Glance

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is currently trading at $338.45 with a market capitalization of $21.3B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 34.86x, with a forward P/E of 24.57x. The 52-week range spans from $218.52 to $351.85; the current price is 3.8% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +14.1%. The net profit margin stands at 5.24%.

💰 Dividend

Burlington Stores, Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

15 analysts rate Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $367.07, implying +8.46% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $300.00 to $435.00.

Burlington Stores, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Apparel Retail — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Revenue is growing at a healthy 14.1% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Return on equity of 39.14% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.

The Bear Case

The debt-to-equity ratio of 319.73% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valuation in Context

With a PEG ratio of 0.92, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 24.57x is meaningfully below the trailing 34.86x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (5.61%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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