Graphic Packaging Holding Compa

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa en bref

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) is currently trading at 9,35 € with a market capitalization of 2,8 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 11.65x, with a forward P/E of 9.15x. The 52-week range spans from 7,67 € to 20,73 €; the current price is 54.9% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +1.7%. The net profit margin stands at 3.17%.

💰 Dividende

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa pays an annual dividend of 0,38 € per share, representing a yield of 4.11%. The payout ratio stands at 47.83%.

📊 Avis des analystes

9 analystes évaluent Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 10,29 €, soit un potentiel de +10.02% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 6,98 € à 15,71 €.

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Packaging & Containers — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 1.7%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 3.17%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. Short interest sits at 16.07% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 3.33, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.15x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 9.15x is meaningfully below the trailing 11.65x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The dividend yield near 4.11% combined with a payout ratio of 47.83% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (16.07%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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