Alibaba

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Alibaba en bref

Alibaba (BABA) is currently trading at 105,99 € with a market capitalization of 254,0 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 18.81x, with a forward P/E of 13.49x. The 52-week range spans from 79,76 € to 167,05 €; the current price is 36.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.9%. The net profit margin stands at 10.12%.

💰 Dividende

Alibaba pays an annual dividend of 0,91 € per share, representing a yield of 0.86%. The payout ratio stands at 17.12%.

📊 Avis des analystes

39 analystes évaluent Alibaba (BABA) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 164,75 €, soit un potentiel de +55.43% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 80,12 € à 210,27 €.

Alibaba : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Alibaba (BABA) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Internet Retail — and is headquartered in China. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 104.1% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 55.43% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.9%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.5, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 2.87x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Alibaba appears in the disclosed holdings of Burry, Tepper. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 13.49x is meaningfully below the trailing 18.81x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 55.43% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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