Alibaba

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Alibaba en bref

Alibaba (BABA) is currently trading at 93,57 € with a market capitalization of 224,5 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 16.52x, with a forward P/E of 11.63x. The 52-week range spans from 90,51 € to 168,14 €; the current price is 44.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.9%. The net profit margin stands at 10.12%.

💰 Dividende

Alibaba pays an annual dividend of 0,92 € per share, representing a yield of 0.98%. The payout ratio stands at 17.12%.

📊 Avis des analystes

40 analystes évaluent Alibaba (BABA) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 167,15 €, soit un potentiel de +78.65% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 80,37 € à 225,72 €.

Alibaba : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Alibaba (BABA) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Internet Retail — and is headquartered in China. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 104.1% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 78.65% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.9%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.38, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 2.63x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Alibaba appears in the disclosed holdings of Burry, Tepper. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 11.63x is meaningfully below the trailing 16.52x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 78.65% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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