Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Stock at a Glance

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is currently trading at $98.11 with a market capitalization of $5.2B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 37.59x, with a forward P/E of 13.29x. The 52-week range spans from $40.80 to $110.39; the current price is 11.1% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +54.0%. The net profit margin stands at 9.34%.

💰 Dividend

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.32 per share, representing a yield of 0.33%. The payout ratio stands at 12.26%.

📊 Analyst Rating

6 analysts rate Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $105.83, implying +7.87% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $90.00 to $123.00.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) operates in the Basic Materials — specifically Coking Coal — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Top-line momentum is unusually strong with revenue expanding 54% year-over-year, a pace that puts the company well above the market average and signals genuine demand traction rather than mere cyclical tailwind.

The Bear Case

Short interest sits at 11.84% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 13.29x is meaningfully below the trailing 37.59x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (11.84%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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