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Sector: Consumer Cyclical
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Valvoline Inc.

VVV Mid Cap

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Updated: Jun 14, 2026, 22:19 UTC

$37.61
-0.53% today
52W: $28.50 – $41.33
52W Low: $28.50 Position: 71% 52W High: $41.33

Price Chart

Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
50.15x
Price-to-Earnings
Forward P/E
18.23x
Forward Price/Earnings
P/S Ratio
2.58x
Price-to-Sales
EV/EBITDA
14.86x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Div. Yield
Annual dividend yield
Market Cap
$4.8B
Market Capitalization
Revenue Growth
25%
YoY Revenue Growth
Profit Margin
5.03%
Net profit margin
ROE
31.8%
Return on Equity
Beta
1.03
Market sensitivity
Short Interest
14.06%
% of float sold short
Avg. Volume
2,127,057
Average daily volume

Valuation Analysis

Signal
Overvalued
vs. S&P 500 avg P/E (24.7x)
Analyst Consensus
Buy
15 analysts
Avg. Price Target
$42.20
+12.2% upside
Target Range
$35.00 – $48.00

About the Company

Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance through its retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company offers oil changes; battery, bulb, and wiper replacements; tire rotations; and other maintenance services. It also operates and franchises service centers and retail locations. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Auto & Truck Dealerships Country: United States Employees: 10,600 Exchange: NYQ

Valvoline Inc. Stock at a Glance

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) is currently trading at $37.61 with a market capitalization of $4.8B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 50.15x, with a forward P/E of 18.23x. The 52-week range spans from $28.50 to $41.33; the current price is 9% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +25.0%. The net profit margin stands at 5.03%.

💰 Dividend

Valvoline Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

15 analysts rate Valvoline Inc. (VVV) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $42.20, implying +12.2% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $35.00 to $48.00.

Valvoline Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Auto & Truck Dealerships — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Top-line momentum is unusually strong with revenue expanding 25% year-over-year, a pace that puts the company well above the market average and signals genuine demand traction rather than mere cyclical tailwind. Return on equity of 31.8% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.

The Bear Case

The debt-to-equity ratio of 574.54% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Short interest sits at 14.06% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valuation in Context

The PEG ratio at 1.1 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric.

What to Watch Next

  • The forward P/E of 18.23x is meaningfully below the trailing 50.15x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths
  • Strong revenue growth of 25% YoY
  • High return on equity (31.8% ROE)
  • Analyst consensus: Buy
  • Positive free cash flow
Weaknesses
  • High valuation multiple (P/E 50.15x)
  • Currently flagged as overvalued
  • High leverage (D/E 574.54)
  • High short interest (14.06%)

Technical Snapshot

50-Day MA
$33.92
+10.88% vs. price
200-Day MA
$34.12
+10.23% vs. price
Below 52W High
−9%
$41.33
Above 52W Low
+32%
$28.50

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Risk Profile

Market Risk (Beta)
1.03 · Market-like
Moves more than the overall market
Short Interest
14.06% · High
% of float sold short
Debt-to-Equity
574.54 · High
Total debt / equity

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (14.06%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

50-Day MA: $33.92
200-Day MA: $34.12
Volume: 1,683,377
Avg. Volume: 2,127,057
Short Ratio: 6.38
P/B Ratio: 13.58x
Debt/Equity: 574.54x
Free Cash Flow: $47.4M

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