Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., an energy company, provides renewable and conventional fuels in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Retail, and Logistics. The Refining segment owns and operates refineries that convert crude oil into gasoline, distillate, asphalt, and other products. The Retail segment operates convenience stores and fuel retail outlets that sell gasoline, diesel, and retail merchandise, such as soft drinks, prepared food, and other sundries under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands, as well as unattended cardlock stations. The Logistics segment owns and operates terminals, pipelines, trucking operations, marine vessels, storage facilities, loading and truck racks, and rail facilities for the movement of ethanol, petroleum, and refined products

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm Stock at a Glance

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm (PARR) is currently trading at $55.82 with a market capitalization of $2.8B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 6.32x, with a forward P/E of 5.58x. The 52-week range spans from $24.25 to $70.39; the current price is 20.7% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +4.5%. The net profit margin stands at 6.02%.

💰 Dividend

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

7 analysts rate Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm (PARR) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $75.00, implying +34.36% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $60.00 to $80.00.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm: The Investment Case in Detail

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm (PARR) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Return on equity of 33.32% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 34.36% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

Revenue growth has slowed to just 4.5%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. Short interest sits at 13.49% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valuation in Context

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.42x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 5.58x is meaningfully below the trailing 6.32x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 34.36% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (13.49%).

Trading Data

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