Mattel, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Mattel, Inc., a play and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells toys, games, and other products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dolls and accessories, books, content, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, Disney Frozen, Monster High, Polly Pocket, and KPop Demon Hunters brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels RC, Matchbox, and Matchbox, and Cars brands; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising toys, content, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People, Thomas & Friends, and Po

Mattel, Inc. Stock at a Glance

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is currently trading at $14.65 with a market capitalization of $4.3B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 9.39x, with a forward P/E of 9.23x. The 52-week range spans from $13.95 to $22.48; the current price is 34.8% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +4.3%. The net profit margin stands at 9.27%.

💰 Dividend

Mattel, Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Analyst Rating

14 analysts rate Mattel, Inc. (MAT) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $18.71, implying +27.74% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $13.00 to $28.00.

Mattel, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Leisure — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 27.74% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

Revenue growth has slowed to just 4.3%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. Short interest sits at 12.96% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valuation in Context

The PEG ratio at 1.15 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.54x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

What to Watch Next

• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 27.74% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (12.96%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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