Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides building solutions for applications in new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets in the United States, Canada, and South America. It operates through Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB) segments. The Siding segment consists of a portfolio of engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products; and primed products, including LP SmartSide trim and siding, LP BuilderSeries Lap Siding, and LP Outdoor Building Solutions; and LP SmartSide ExpertFinish trim and siding pre-finished products. The OSB segment manufactures and distributes OSB structural panel products, including the value-added OSB product portfolio comprising LP Structural Solutions, which includes LP FlameBlock Fire-Ra

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Stock at a Glance

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) is currently trading at $75.04 with a market capitalization of $5.2B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 64.14x, with a forward P/E of 19.52x. The 52-week range spans from $66.12 to $102.86; the current price is 27% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -20.7%. The net profit margin stands at 3.21%.

💰 Dividend

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation pays an annual dividend of $1.20 per share, representing a yield of 1.6%. The payout ratio stands at 97.44%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Analyst Rating

12 analysts rate Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $91.50, implying +21.93% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $66.00 to $107.00.

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation: The Investment Case in Detail

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) operates in the Industrials — specifically Building Products & Equipment — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 21.93% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

The Bear Case

Revenue is contracting at -20.7% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. With a net margin of just 3.21%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion.

Valuation in Context

At a PEG of 3.68, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 19.52x is meaningfully below the trailing 64.14x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 21.93% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Risk Profile

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (9.35%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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