HF Sinclair Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, commodity and modified asphalt products, and others. It also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Wyoming, Washington, and Utah, as well as markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, the company supplies fuels to 1,700 branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 350 additional lo

HF Sinclair Corporation Stock at a Glance

HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is currently trading at $71.26 with a market capitalization of $12.8B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 10.7x, with a forward P/E of 9.46x. The 52-week range spans from $39.08 to $74.73; the current price is 4.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +11.8%. The net profit margin stands at 4.46%.

💰 Dividend

HF Sinclair Corporation pays an annual dividend of $2.00 per share, representing a yield of 2.81%. The payout ratio stands at 30.03%.

📊 Analyst Rating

15 analysts rate HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $74.87, implying +5.06% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $54.00 to $87.00.

HF Sinclair Corporation: The Investment Case in Detail

HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Revenue is growing at a healthy 11.8% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

With a net margin of just 4.46%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valuation in Context

The PEG ratio at 1.07 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.69x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 9.46x is meaningfully below the trailing 10.7x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 90.3% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (5.06%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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