Expedia Group, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. The B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. The trivago segment s

Expedia Group, Inc. Stock at a Glance

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) is currently trading at $224.89 with a market capitalization of $27B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 19.88x, with a forward P/E of 9.74x. The 52-week range spans from $160.00 to $303.80; the current price is 26% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +14.7%. The net profit margin stands at 9.81%.

💰 Dividend

Expedia Group, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.76 per share, representing a yield of 0.78%. The payout ratio stands at 14.84%.

📊 Analyst Rating

34 analysts rate Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $286.32, implying +27.32% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $230.00 to $409.00.

Expedia Group, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Travel Services — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Revenue is growing at a healthy 14.7% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. With a gross margin near 90.27%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Return on equity of 71.49% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.

The Bear Case

The debt-to-equity ratio of 256.54% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valuation in Context

With a PEG ratio of 0.74, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 9.74x is meaningfully below the trailing 19.88x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 27.32% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (8.36%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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