CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CF Large CapBasic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Updated: Jun 14, 2026, 22:19 UTC
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Valuation Analysis
About the Company
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products. It serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Stock at a Glance
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is currently trading at $109.48 with a market capitalization of $16.8B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 9.86x, with a forward P/E of 9.46x. The 52-week range spans from $75.42 to $141.96; the current price is 22.9% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +19.4%. The net profit margin stands at 23.73%.
💰 Dividend
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $2.00 per share, representing a yield of 1.83%. The payout ratio stands at 18.02%.
📊 Analyst Rating
19 analysts rate CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) on consensus: Hold. The average price target is $127.63, implying +16.58% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $100.00 to $150.00.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.: The Investment Case in Detail
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) operates in the Basic Materials — specifically Agricultural Inputs — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.
The Bull Case
Revenue is growing at a healthy 19.4% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 115.1% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Return on equity of 27.3% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.
Valuation in Context
At a PEG of 3.25, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.2x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.
Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses
- Profitable with 23.73% net margin
- High return on equity (27.3% ROE)
- Currently flagged as undervalued
- Solid balance sheet with low debt (D/E 43.85)
- Positive free cash flow
No significant red flags in current metrics.
Technical Snapshot
Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).
Risk Profile
The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (7.31%).
Trading Data
💵 Dividend Info
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