Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transpor

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Stock at a Glance

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) is currently trading at $76.46 with a market capitalization of $3.4B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 8.76x, with a forward P/E of 9.98x. The 52-week range spans from $72.76 to $92.40; the current price is 17.3% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -6.2%. The net profit margin stands at 50.98%.

💰 Dividend

Assured Guaranty Ltd. pays an annual dividend of $1.52 per share, representing a yield of 1.99%. The payout ratio stands at 16.04%.

📊 Analyst Rating

3 analysts rate Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) on consensus: None. The average price target is $92.33, implying +20.76% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $80.00 to $103.00.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.: The Investment Case in Detail

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) operates in the Financial Services — specifically Insurance - Specialty — and is headquartered in Bermuda. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

With a gross margin near 93.24%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 50.98%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

The Bear Case

Revenue is contracting at -6.2% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades.

Valuation in Context

With a PEG ratio of 0.33, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

What to Watch Next

• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 20.76% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Risk Profile

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (6.28%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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