Alcoa Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the form of commodity grade ingot and value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and constru

Alcoa Corporation Stock at a Glance

Alcoa Corporation (AA) is currently trading at $68.77 with a market capitalization of $18.1B. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 17.63x, with a forward P/E of 9.39x. The 52-week range spans from $27.72 to $84.38; the current price is 18.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -5.2%. The net profit margin stands at 8.17%.

💰 Dividend

Alcoa Corporation pays an annual dividend of $0.40 per share, representing a yield of 0.58%. The payout ratio stands at 10.26%.

📊 Analyst Rating

13 analysts rate Alcoa Corporation (AA) on consensus: Buy. The average price target is $82.25, implying +19.61% from the current price. Analyst price targets range from $52.00 to $152.00.

Alcoa Corporation: The Investment Case in Detail

Alcoa Corporation (AA) operates in the Basic Materials — specifically Aluminum — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

The Bull Case

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 19.61% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

The Bear Case

Revenue is contracting at -5.2% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades.

Valuation in Context

At a PEG of 8.36, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here.

What to Watch Next

• The forward P/E of 9.39x is meaningfully below the trailing 17.63x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Investment Thesis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Technical Snapshot

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Risk Profile

The data points to above-average price swings.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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