Bill Ackman — Profil Smart Money & stratégie

Profil Smart Money

Bill Ackman

Pershing Square Capital

Bill Ackman — Pershing Square Capital
Pershing
Fonds principal
13,7 Md $
Valeur du portefeuille 13F
Activiste · Concentré
Style d'investissement

Profil et philosophie d'investissement

Bill Ackman a réalisé l'une des opérations les plus marquantes du trimestre au premier trimestre 2026, en initiant une nouvelle position massive dans Microsoft financée par une réduction de 95 % de sa participation dans Alphabet. Cette rotation traduit la conviction d'Ackman dans les logiciels d'entreprise et le leadership en matière d'IA. Après sa sortie de Hilton, Pershing Square reste très concentré sur des entreprises de grande qualité, « simples et prévisibles », telles qu'Amazon, Uber et Brookfield.

Track Record

Pershing Square Capital has compounded at roughly 16.5% annually since inception in 2004, beating the S&P 500's ~10.2%. After dismal years in 2015-2017 (Valeant disaster, Herbalife short), Ackman returned to form with +58.1% in 2019, +70.2% in 2020 (largely thanks to a $27 million CDS hedge that printed $2.6 billion), +26.9% in 2021, and steady double-digit gains through 2024. AUM grew from $500 million in 2004 to roughly $20 billion in 2026. Pershing Square Holdings (PSH) trades on Amsterdam and London exchanges as a closed-end vehicle with around $15 billion NAV.

Trades emblématiques

MBIA Short (2002-2008)
Ackman researched bond insurer MBIA for years, arguing its CDO exposure made the AAA rating fiction. He was publicly mocked and investigated by Spitzer. When the 2008 crisis hit, MBIA collapsed 90% and his Pershing Square II fund delivered triple-digit returns. The trade cemented his reputation for deep-dive forensic research and willingness to be wrong for years.
COVID CDS Hedge (March 2020)
On February 23, 2020, Ackman bought $27 million of investment-grade and high-yield CDS protection as COVID escalated. Within four weeks credit spreads exploded and he sold the hedges for $2.6 billion — a 96x return in 30 days. He immediately recycled the gains into Berkshire, Hilton and Lowe's near the bottom, generating record fund returns.
Herbalife Short (2012-2018)
Ackman shorted Herbalife with a $1 billion position and a 342-page presentation calling it a pyramid scheme. Carl Icahn took the other side. The FTC fined Herbalife $200 million but didn't shut it down. Ackman covered after six years at a loss exceeding $700 million — his costliest mistake and a lesson in trade-conviction time horizons.

Stratégie actuelle (2026)

Pershing Square runs a concentrated 8-12 stock portfolio. As of Q1 2026, top holdings include Brookfield Corp, Restaurant Brands International, Chipotle, Howard Hughes Holdings, Hilton, Alphabet, and Nike — the latter a 2024 build after a brand and execution stumble. Uber was a notable 2025 add. Ackman has been vocal on rates, predicting the 10-year stabilizes around 4-4.5% as fiscal deficits constrain Fed cuts. He's also pursued the Pershing Square USA closed-end fund IPO (withdrawn 2024, restructured 2025) and built a public profile on geopolitical and political commentary that occasionally rattles institutional LPs. The strategy remains long-only quality compounders with activist nudges where governance can be improved.

BMI

BMI Counter-Take

Ackman is a brilliant analyst with a Twitter problem. The portfolio quality is high — Brookfield, Chipotle, Hilton are genuine compounders — but the public commentary on politics, geopolitics, and rates increasingly makes him a meme stock manager rather than a fund manager. BMI's view: the Nike build looks early but defensible (brand moats heal), and Uber is a sharp call. The pulled USA IPO was a warning signal — retail demand isn't institutional capital. We'd own PSH at a NAV discount but not pay premium for the manager. The CDS playbook is unrepeatable; investors expecting another 96x are buying the wrong dream.

Portefeuille actuel

DERNIER 13F 2026-03-31

Dernière déclaration SEC Form 13F. Valeur totale du portefeuille: 12,0 Md €. Positions: 11 positions.

TitreActionsΔ vs préc.Valeur (€)Portefeuille %
Brookfield Corp.59,7 M-2.8%2,11 Md €17,6 %
Amazon Com Inc.11,5 M+19.2%2,08 Md €17,4 %
Uber Technologies Inc.30,0 M-0.8%1,88 Md €15,7 %
Microsoft Corp.5,65 M★ NOUVELLE1,83 Md €15,3 %
Restaurant Brands Intl Inc.22,6 M-1.0%1,46 Md €12,2 %
Meta Platforms Inc.2,66 M-0.5%1,33 Md €11,1 %
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.18,9 M1,04 Md €8,70 %
Seaport Entmt Group Inc.5,02 M94,1 M €0,79 %
Alphabet Inc.311.726-94.9%78,0 M €0,65 %
Hertz Global Hldgs Inc.15,2 M61,3 M €0,51 %

SOURCE : SEC Form 13F (2026-05-15). BMI Smart Money Tracker.

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