Shake Shack

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Shake Shack en bref

Shake Shack (SHAK) is currently trading at 51,56 € with a market capitalization of 2,2 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 60.29x, with a forward P/E of 39.13x. The 52-week range spans from 45,03 € to 126,23 €; the current price is 59.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +14.3%. The net profit margin stands at 2.76%.

💰 Dividende

Shake Shack currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

24 analystes évaluent Shake Shack (SHAK) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 72,54 €, soit un potentiel de +40.7% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 52,36 € à 108,21 €.

Shake Shack : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Shake Shack (SHAK) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Restaurants — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 14.3% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 40.7% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 2.76%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Short interest sits at 12.48% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 39.13x is meaningfully below the trailing 60.29x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 40.7% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (12.48%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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