Hilton
HLT Large CapConsumer Cyclical · Lodging
Mis à jour: Aug 2, 2026, 22:14 UTC
Price Chart
Indicateurs clés
Valuation Analysis
About the Company
Hilton en bref
Hilton (HLT) is currently trading at 278,52 € with a market capitalization of 62,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 47.2x, with a forward P/E of 30.67x. The 52-week range spans from 220,34 € to 311,11 €; the current price is 10.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.5%. The net profit margin stands at 31.03%.
💰 Dividende
Hilton pays an annual dividend of 0,52 € per share, representing a yield of 0.19%. The payout ratio stands at 8.81%.
📊 Avis des analystes
24 analystes évaluent Hilton (HLT) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 305,94 €, soit un potentiel de +9.84% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 234,64 € à 342,40 €.
Hilton : la thèse d'investissement en détail
Hilton (HLT) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Lodging — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.
Le scénario haussier
With a gross margin near 79.04%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 31.03%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions.
Le scénario baissier
Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.5%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.
Valorisation en contexte
The EV/EBITDA multiple of 27.58x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.
Signal Smart Money
On the institutional side, Hilton appears in the disclosed holdings of Ackman. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.
À surveiller
- The forward P/E of 30.67x is meaningfully below the trailing 47.2x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses
- Rentable avec une marge nette de 31.03%
- Marge brute élevée de 79.04% — signe d'un pouvoir de fixation des prix
- Consensus des analystes : Buy
- Free cash flow positif
- –Actuellement jugée surévaluée
Aperçu technique
Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).
Profil de risque
The data points to market-like volatility.
Trading Data
💵 Dividend Info
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