Hilton

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Hilton en bref

Hilton (HLT) is currently trading at 304,42 € with a market capitalization of 69,3 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 53.26x, with a forward P/E of 33.49x. The 52-week range spans from 212,52 € to 312,42 €; the current price is 2.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +11.0%. The net profit margin stands at 30.41%.

💰 Dividende

Hilton pays an annual dividend of 0,52 € per share, representing a yield of 0.17%. The payout ratio stands at 9.16%.

📊 Avis des analystes

24 analystes évaluent Hilton (HLT) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 303,11 €, soit un potentiel de -0.43% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 226,90 € à 340,34 €.

Hilton : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Hilton (HLT) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Lodging — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 11% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 35% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. With a gross margin near 78.5%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns.

Le scénario baissier

A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 30.72x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Hilton appears in the disclosed holdings of Ackman. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 33.49x is meaningfully below the trailing 53.26x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 92% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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