Toast

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Toast en bref

Toast (TOST) is currently trading at 21,55 € with a market capitalization of 12,5 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 36.85x, with a forward P/E of 14.55x. The 52-week range spans from 19,43 € to 43,34 €; the current price is 50.3% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +21.9%. The net profit margin stands at 6.39%.

💰 Dividende

Toast currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

25 analystes évaluent Toast (TOST) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 29,57 €, soit un potentiel de +37.22% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 20,94 € à 39,27 €.

Toast : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Toast (TOST) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Infrastructure — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 21.9% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 123% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 37.22% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.23, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 30.45x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 14.55x is meaningfully below the trailing 36.85x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 37.22% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (8.68%).

Trading Data

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