Hornbach Holding

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Hornbach Holding en bref

Hornbach Holding (HBH.DE) is currently trading at 77,50 € with a market capitalization of 1,1 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 8.95x, with a forward P/E of 7.87x. The 52-week range spans from 74,00 € to 108,40 €; the current price is 28.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +3.8%. The net profit margin stands at 2.15%.

💰 Dividende

Hornbach Holding pays an annual dividend of 2,40 € per share, representing a yield of 3.1%. The payout ratio stands at 27.71%.

📊 Avis des analystes

7 analystes évaluent Hornbach Holding (HBH.DE) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 99,69 €, soit un potentiel de +28.63% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 83,80 € à 117,00 €.

Hornbach Holding : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Hornbach Holding (HBH.DE) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Home Improvement Retail — and is headquartered in Germany. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 28.63% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 3.8%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 2.15%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valorisation en contexte

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.54x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 7.87x is meaningfully below the trailing 8.95x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The dividend yield near 3.1% combined with a payout ratio of 27.71% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 28.63% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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