Hilton Grand Vacations

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Hilton Grand Vacations en bref

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is currently trading at 45,95 € with a market capitalization of 3,6 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 28.49x, with a forward P/E of 8.95x. The 52-week range spans from 32,07 € to 46,92 €; the current price is 2.1% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +11.9%. The net profit margin stands at 3.54%.

💰 Dividende

Hilton Grand Vacations currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

10 analystes évaluent Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 50,30 €, soit un potentiel de +9.47% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 44,46 € à 65,38 €.

Hilton Grand Vacations : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Resorts & Casinos — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 11.9% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 3.54%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. The debt-to-equity ratio of 547.78% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Short interest sits at 11.23% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 8.95x is meaningfully below the trailing 28.49x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 93.5% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (11.23%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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