Hilton Grand Vacations

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Hilton Grand Vacations en bref

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is currently trading at 40,00 € with a market capitalization of 3,1 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 26.22x, with a forward P/E of 8.31x. The 52-week range spans from 31,90 € to 48,03 €; the current price is 16.7% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +6.2%. The net profit margin stands at 3.21%.

💰 Dividende

Hilton Grand Vacations currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

10 analystes évaluent Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 49,33 €, soit un potentiel de +23.32% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 39,88 € à 64,16 €.

Hilton Grand Vacations : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Resorts & Casinos — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 23.32% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 3.21%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. The debt-to-equity ratio of 624.09% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Short interest sits at 11.56% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 8.31x is meaningfully below the trailing 26.22x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 23.32% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (11.56%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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