CAF

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

CAF en bref

CAF (CAF.MC) is currently trading at 68,40 € with a market capitalization of 2,0 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 13.6x, with a forward P/E of 10.86x. The 52-week range spans from 49,45 € to 70,50 €; the current price is 3% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +3.6%. The net profit margin stands at 3.31%.

💰 Dividende

CAF pays an annual dividend of 1,52 € per share, representing a yield of 2.22%. The payout ratio stands at 30.27%.

📊 Avis des analystes

9 analystes évaluent CAF (CAF.MC) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 69,93 €, soit un potentiel de +2.23% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 60,00 € à 78,65 €.

CAF : la thèse d'investissement en détail

CAF (CAF.MC) operates in the Industrials — specifically Railroads — and is headquartered in Spain. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 3.6%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 3.31%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valorisation en contexte

The PEG ratio at 1.1 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.63x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 10.86x is meaningfully below the trailing 13.6x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 90% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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