Alarm.com

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Alarm.com en bref

Alarm.com (ALRM) is currently trading at 38,73 € with a market capitalization of 1,9 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 18.41x, with a forward P/E of 14.98x. The 52-week range spans from 36,21 € to 51,95 €; the current price is 25.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +11.0%. The net profit margin stands at 12.36%.

💰 Dividende

Alarm.com currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

6 analystes évaluent Alarm.com (ALRM) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 51,49 €, soit un potentiel de +32.94% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 34,91 € à 74,18 €.

Alarm.com : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Alarm.com (ALRM) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Application — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 11% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. With a gross margin near 65.83%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns.

Valorisation en contexte

The PEG ratio at 1.41 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 14.98x is meaningfully below the trailing 18.41x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 32.94% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (7.86%).

Trading Data

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