Super Micro Computer

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Super Micro Computer en bref

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is currently trading at 24,62 € with a market capitalization of 15,9 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 14.95x, with a forward P/E of 8.58x. The 52-week range spans from 16,88 € to 51,49 €; the current price is 52.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +122.7%. The net profit margin stands at 3.7%.

💰 Dividende

Super Micro Computer currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

16 analystes évaluent Super Micro Computer (SMCI) au consensus : Conserver. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 32,77 €, soit un potentiel de +33.14% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 13,00 € à 50,27 €.

Super Micro Computer : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) operates in the Technology — specifically Computer Hardware — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Top-line momentum is unusually strong with revenue expanding 122.7% year-over-year, a pace that puts the company well above the market average and signals genuine demand traction rather than mere cyclical tailwind. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 3.7%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. With a beta near 1.94, the share price moves sharply more than the broader market — drawdowns in market corrections can be unusually severe and require strong nerves. Short interest sits at 19.61% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.91, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 8.58x is meaningfully below the trailing 14.95x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 33.14% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (19.61%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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