Smurfit WestRock plc

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Smurfit WestRock plc en bref

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) is currently trading at 38,53 € with a market capitalization of 20,2 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 61.38x, with a forward P/E of 13.91x. The 52-week range spans from 28,53 € to 45,90 €; the current price is 16% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +0.7%. The net profit margin stands at 1.22%.

💰 Dividende

Smurfit WestRock plc pays an annual dividend of 1,58 € per share, representing a yield of 4.1%. The payout ratio stands at 242.32%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

14 analystes évaluent Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 46,60 €, soit un potentiel de +20.97% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 40,10 € à 54,05 €.

Smurfit WestRock plc : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) operates in the Consumer Cyclical — specifically Packaging & Containers — and is headquartered in Ireland. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 20.97% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 0.7%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 1.22%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.26, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.69x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 13.91x is meaningfully below the trailing 61.38x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 20.97% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (5.95%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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