SM Energy Company

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

SM Energy Company en bref

SM Energy Company (SM) is currently trading at 23,63 € with a market capitalization of 5,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 11.44x, with a forward P/E of 3.4x. The 52-week range spans from 15,21 € to 31,28 €; the current price is 24.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +73.0%. The net profit margin stands at 3.62%.

💰 Dividende

SM Energy Company pays an annual dividend of 0,77 € per share, representing a yield of 3.25%. The payout ratio stands at 43.04%.

📊 Avis des analystes

14 analystes évaluent SM Energy Company (SM) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 35,56 €, soit un potentiel de +50.45% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 26,15 € à 53,18 €.

SM Energy Company : la thèse d'investissement en détail

SM Energy Company (SM) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Top-line momentum is unusually strong with revenue expanding 73% year-over-year, a pace that puts the company well above the market average and signals genuine demand traction rather than mere cyclical tailwind. With a gross margin near 87.7%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 50.45% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 3.62%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.5, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.32x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 3.4x is meaningfully below the trailing 11.44x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The dividend yield near 3.25% combined with a payout ratio of 43.04% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 50.45% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (6.27%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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