ConocoPhillips

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

ConocoPhillips en bref

ConocoPhillips (COP) is currently trading at 94,25 € with a market capitalization of 114,8 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 18.31x, with a forward P/E of 11.75x. The 52-week range spans from 74,67 € to 118,57 €; the current price is 20.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -5.3%. The net profit margin stands at 12.33%.

💰 Dividende

ConocoPhillips pays an annual dividend of 2,93 € per share, representing a yield of 3.11%. The payout ratio stands at 54.92%.

📊 Avis des analystes

26 analystes évaluent ConocoPhillips (COP) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 124,59 €, soit un potentiel de +32.19% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 105,59 € à 159,70 €.

ConocoPhillips : la thèse d'investissement en détail

ConocoPhillips (COP) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

The combination of a 45.59% gross margin and 22.05% operating margin shows the business converts revenue into profit efficiently — a hallmark of competitive moat. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 32.19% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -5.3% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.94, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.54x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 11.75x is meaningfully below the trailing 18.31x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The dividend yield near 3.11% combined with a payout ratio of 54.92% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 32.19% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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