Occidental Petroleum

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Occidental Petroleum en bref

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is currently trading at 45,20 € with a market capitalization of 45,0 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 70x, with a forward P/E of 12.84x. The 52-week range spans from 33,86 € to 58,86 €; the current price is 23.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -8.3%. The net profit margin stands at 22.42%.

💰 Dividende

Occidental Petroleum pays an annual dividend of 0,91 € per share, representing a yield of 2.01%. The payout ratio stands at 132.43%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

24 analystes évaluent Occidental Petroleum (OXY) au consensus : Conserver. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 57,16 €, soit un potentiel de +26.45% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 48,00 € à 65,45 €.

Occidental Petroleum : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 315.6% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. With a gross margin near 69.76%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 22.42%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -8.3% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

The PEG ratio at 1.13 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.94x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Occidental Petroleum appears in the disclosed holdings of Buffett. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 12.84x is meaningfully below the trailing 70x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 26.45% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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