Moody's

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Moody's en bref

Moody's (MCO) is currently trading at 393,38 € with a market capitalization of 68,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 32.29x, with a forward P/E of 24.24x. The 52-week range spans from 351,06 € to 477,25 €; the current price is 17.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +8.1%. The net profit margin stands at 31.69%.

💰 Dividende

Moody's pays an annual dividend of 3,60 € per share, representing a yield of 0.91%. The payout ratio stands at 27.62%.

📊 Avis des analystes

20 analystes évaluent Moody's (MCO) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 467,75 €, soit un potentiel de +18.91% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 426,74 € à 532,33 €.

Moody's : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Moody's (MCO) operates in the Financial Services — specifically Financial Data & Stock Exchanges — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 74.43%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Return on equity of 71.36% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 31.69%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions.

Le scénario baissier

The debt-to-equity ratio of 235.54% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Moody's appears in the disclosed holdings of Buffett. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 24.24x is meaningfully below the trailing 32.29x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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