Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation en bref

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) is currently trading at 23,01 € with a market capitalization of 4,4 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 15.26x, with a forward P/E of 10.08x. The 52-week range spans from 18,37 € to 28,56 €; the current price is 19.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.3%. The net profit margin stands at 24.4%.

💰 Dividende

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

17 analystes évaluent Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 29,48 €, soit un potentiel de +28.12% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 24,41 € à 33,13 €.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 80.49%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 24.4%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 28.12% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.3%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. Short interest sits at 14.55% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 10.08x is meaningfully below the trailing 15.26x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 28.12% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (14.55%).

Trading Data

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