Kroger

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Kroger en bref

Kroger (KR) is currently trading at 49,41 € with a market capitalization of 30,5 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 36.77x, with a forward P/E of 10.1x. The 52-week range spans from 49,15 € to 66,83 €; the current price is 26.1% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +1.2%. The net profit margin stands at 0.69%.

💰 Dividende

Kroger pays an annual dividend of 1,22 € per share, representing a yield of 2.47%. The payout ratio stands at 87.01%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

22 analystes évaluent Kroger (KR) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 65,76 €, soit un potentiel de +33.09% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 53,23 € à 75,05 €.

Kroger : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Kroger (KR) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Grocery Stores — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 50.9% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 33.09% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 1.2%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 0.69%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. The debt-to-equity ratio of 415.97% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.6, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.96x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Kroger appears in the disclosed holdings of Buffett. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 10.1x is meaningfully below the trailing 36.77x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 33.09% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (5.11%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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