Kroger

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Kroger en bref

Kroger (KR) is currently trading at 50,06 € with a market capitalization of 30,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 33.77x, with a forward P/E of 10.42x. The 52-week range spans from 46,95 € to 66,40 €; the current price is 24.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.2%. The net profit margin stands at 0.71%.

💰 Dividende

Kroger pays an annual dividend of 1,25 € per share, representing a yield of 2.49%. The payout ratio stands at 80.12%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

22 analystes évaluent Kroger (KR) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 61,25 €, soit un potentiel de +22.34% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 50,29 € à 74,56 €.

Kroger : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Kroger (KR) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Grocery Stores — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 22.34% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.2%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 0.71%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. The debt-to-equity ratio of 373.45% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.56, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.34x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

Signal Smart Money

On the institutional side, Kroger appears in the disclosed holdings of Buffett. Smart-money managers track positioning, fundamentals and competitive dynamics with research budgets few retail investors can match — when several converge on the same name, it is rarely random. That doesn't mean blind copying makes sense, but it does raise the bar for the bear case.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 10.42x is meaningfully below the trailing 33.77x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 22.34% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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