Costco

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Costco en bref

Costco (COST) is currently trading at 825,29 € with a market capitalization of 366,0 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 47.86x, with a forward P/E of 42.03x. The 52-week range spans from 731,80 € to 950,67 €; the current price is 13.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +21.5%. The net profit margin stands at 3.01%.

💰 Dividende

Costco pays an annual dividend of 5,10 € per share, representing a yield of 0.62%. The payout ratio stands at 27.01%.

📊 Avis des analystes

35 analystes évaluent Costco (COST) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 933,68 €, soit un potentiel de +13.13% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 641,58 € à 1 140,11 €.

Costco : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Costco (COST) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Discount Stores — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 21.5% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 45.5% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Return on equity of 29.15% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 3.01%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 4.62, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 30.49x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 42.03x is meaningfully below the trailing 47.86x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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