Kratos Defense and Security

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Kratos Defense and Security en bref

Kratos Defense and Security (KTOS) is currently trading at 40,40 € with a market capitalization of 7,6 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 274.12x, with a forward P/E of 42.71x. The 52-week range spans from 37,36 € to 116,18 €; the current price is 65.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +22.6%. The net profit margin stands at 2.08%.

💰 Dividende

Kratos Defense and Security currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

21 analystes évaluent Kratos Defense and Security (KTOS) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 94,79 €, soit un potentiel de +134.62% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 52,02 € à 130,05 €.

Kratos Defense and Security : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Kratos Defense and Security (KTOS) operates in the Industrials — specifically Aerospace & Defense — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 22.6% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 130.6% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 134.62% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 2.08%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 36.41, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 91.87x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 42.71x is meaningfully below the trailing 274.12x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 134.62% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (6.36%).

Trading Data

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