Upbound Group, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Upbound Group, Inc. en bref

Upbound Group, Inc. (UPBD) is currently trading at 15,99 € with a market capitalization of 932 M €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 12.72x, with a forward P/E of 3.85x. The 52-week range spans from 13,81 € to 24,46 €; the current price is 34.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +3.7%. The net profit margin stands at 1.78%.

💰 Dividende

Upbound Group, Inc. pays an annual dividend of 1,36 € per share, representing a yield of 8.52%. The payout ratio stands at 108.33%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

7 analystes évaluent Upbound Group, Inc. (UPBD) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 24,87 €, soit un potentiel de +55.57% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 17,45 € à 35,78 €.

Upbound Group, Inc. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Upbound Group, Inc. (UPBD) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Application — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 45.2% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 3.7%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 1.78%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. The debt-to-equity ratio of 241.44% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valorisation en contexte

The PEG ratio at 1.39 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.44x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 3.85x is meaningfully below the trailing 12.72x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 55.57% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (12.48%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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