Universal Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Universal Corporation en bref

Universal Corporation (UVV) is currently trading at 45,52 € with a market capitalization of 1,1 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 40.12x, with a forward P/E of 11.91x. The 52-week range spans from 42,93 € to 52,26 €; the current price is 12.9% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +1.8%. The net profit margin stands at 1.12%.

💰 Dividende

Universal Corporation pays an annual dividend of 2,90 € per share, representing a yield of 6.37%. The payout ratio stands at 251.54%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

1 analystes évaluent Universal Corporation (UVV) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 64,58 €, soit un potentiel de +41.87% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 64,58 € à 64,58 €.

Universal Corporation : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Universal Corporation (UVV) operates in the Consumer Defensive — specifically Tobacco — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 41.87% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 1.8%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 1.12%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 4.16, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.54x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 11.91x is meaningfully below the trailing 40.12x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 41.87% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (9.91%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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