UGI Corporation

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

UGI Corporation en bref

UGI Corporation (UGI) is currently trading at 29,47 € with a market capitalization of 6,3 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 11.9x, with a forward P/E of 10.12x. The 52-week range spans from 27,57 € to 36,04 €; the current price is 18.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +0.7%. The net profit margin stands at 8.71%.

💰 Dividende

UGI Corporation pays an annual dividend of 1,31 € per share, representing a yield of 4.44%. The payout ratio stands at 52.82%.

📊 Avis des analystes

3 analystes évaluent UGI Corporation (UGI) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 37,77 €, soit un potentiel de +28.19% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 34,87 € à 40,10 €.

UGI Corporation : la thèse d'investissement en détail

UGI Corporation (UGI) operates in the Utilities — specifically Utilities - Regulated Gas — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

The combination of a 50.69% gross margin and 30.39% operating margin shows the business converts revenue into profit efficiently — a hallmark of competitive moat. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 0.7%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 48.82, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.03x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 10.12x is meaningfully below the trailing 11.9x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The dividend yield near 4.44% combined with a payout ratio of 52.82% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 28.19% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (8.51%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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