Traton

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Traton en bref

Traton (8TRA.DE) is currently trading at 40,72 € with a market capitalization of 17,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 11.5x, with a forward P/E of 7.12x. The 52-week range spans from 25,78 € to 41,38 €; the current price is 1.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +4.1%. The net profit margin stands at 4%.

💰 Dividende

Traton pays an annual dividend of 0,93 € per share, representing a yield of 2.28%.

📊 Avis des analystes

18 analystes évaluent Traton (8TRA.DE) au consensus : Conserver. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 38,25 €, soit un potentiel de -6.07% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 23,00 € à 48,00 €.

Traton : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Traton (8TRA.DE) operates in the Industrials — specifically Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery — and is headquartered in Germany. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 187.2% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 4.1%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 4%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valorisation en contexte

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.8x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 7.12x is meaningfully below the trailing 11.5x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 95.8% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price trades above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d above 200d — a classic bullish setup (golden-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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