The Carlyle Group Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

The Carlyle Group Inc. en bref

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) is currently trading at 39,06 € with a market capitalization of 14,1 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 30.68x, with a forward P/E of 8.58x. The 52-week range spans from 36,21 € to 60,89 €; the current price is 35.9% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -94.1%. The net profit margin stands at 16.82%.

💰 Dividende

The Carlyle Group Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

16 analystes évaluent The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 52,64 €, soit un potentiel de +34.77% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 37,49 € à 65,38 €.

The Carlyle Group Inc. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) operates in the Financial Services — specifically Asset Management — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 87.78%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 34.77% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -94.1% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. With a beta near 1.82, the share price moves sharply more than the broader market — drawdowns in market corrections can be unusually severe and require strong nerves.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 8.58x is meaningfully below the trailing 30.68x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 34.77% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (5.85%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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