Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. en bref

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) is currently trading at 16,95 € with a market capitalization of 1,8 Md €. The 52-week range spans from 16,35 € to 27,54 €; the current price is 38.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -7.1%.

💰 Dividende

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

9 analystes évaluent Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 29,35 €, soit un potentiel de +73.18% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 25,28 € à 33,13 €.

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 74.58%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 73.18% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -7.1% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. Net margins remain negative, meaning every euro of revenue is still producing losses — the path to profitability is the central question for shareholders. Short interest sits at 19.77% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.65, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 3.17x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 73.18% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (19.77%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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