Mosaic Company (The)

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Mosaic Company (The) en bref

Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) is currently trading at 19,98 € with a market capitalization of 6,4 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 163.71x, with a forward P/E of 12.49x. The 52-week range spans from 17,26 € to 33,33 €; the current price is 40% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +14.4%. The net profit margin stands at 0.36%.

💰 Dividende

Mosaic Company (The) pays an annual dividend of 0,77 € per share, representing a yield of 3.84%. The payout ratio stands at 628.57%. The elevated payout ratio reflects a mature dividend policy.

📊 Avis des analystes

19 analystes évaluent Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) au consensus : Conserver. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 23,20 €, soit un potentiel de +16.1% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 16,56 € à 30,51 €.

Mosaic Company (The) : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) operates in the Basic Materials — specifically Agricultural Inputs — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 14.4% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 0.36%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

The EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.29x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 12.49x is meaningfully below the trailing 163.71x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (8.71%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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