Matador Resources Company

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Matador Resources Company en bref

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is currently trading at 43,21 € with a market capitalization of 5,4 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 12.78x, with a forward P/E of 5.57x. The 52-week range spans from 32,38 € to 58,27 €; the current price is 25.8% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -6.4%. The net profit margin stands at 13.45%.

💰 Dividende

Matador Resources Company pays an annual dividend of 1,31 € per share, representing a yield of 3.03%. The payout ratio stands at 35.44%.

📊 Avis des analystes

18 analystes évaluent Matador Resources Company (MTDR) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 63,35 €, soit un potentiel de +46.59% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 54,05 € à 84,56 €.

Matador Resources Company : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) operates in the Energy — specifically Oil & Gas E&P — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 79.66%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 46.59% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -6.4% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades. Short interest sits at 10.01% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.78, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 4.87x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 5.57x is meaningfully below the trailing 12.78x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The dividend yield near 3.03% combined with a payout ratio of 35.44% leaves room for further hikes — a track record of consecutive raises is a strong income signal.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 46.59% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (10.01%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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